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Argument: Argument thesis  U.S. cannot withdraw from Iraq until it is stabilized
Node type: Node supports parent assertion  This node supports its parent
Parent node: The thesis is the parent  The thesis is the parent
Node Text: Significant potential to destabilize neighboring states

The conflict in Iraq is overwhelmingly based on sectarian, ethnic and tribal lines. An expansion and acceleration of the Iraqi civil war has significant potential to destabilize:

- Turkey (with its proximal Kurdish population)
- Iran (with its proximal Shiite population)
- Saudi Arabia (due to its proximity, radicalized threads within its population, and its home to the holy sites of Mecca and Medina)

"When the ethnic-religious break occurs in one country, it will not fail to occur elsewhere, too," Syrian President Bashar al-Assad told Germany's Der Spiegel newsweekly recently. "It would be as it was at the end of the Soviet Union, only much worse. Large wars, small wars -- no one will be able to get a grip on the consequences."

http://www.washingtonpost.com/...

This assumes that these regional governments do not in fact actively take sides in the civil war as outlined in node 182

http://honestargument.com/...
Node Created: Ulysses Berman — 2006-11-13 21:01:49

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