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Argument: Argument thesis  U.S. cannot withdraw from Iraq until it is stabilized
Node type: Node refutes parent assertion  This node refutes its parent
Parent node: The thesis is the parent  The thesis is the parent
Node Text: It's better to get out before an event forces us out

Kevin Drum argues:

"The dynamics of violence are nonlinear in the extreme, and the odds of an Archduke Ferdinand moment continue to rise inexorably as our occupation continues to make things ever worse and ever more unstable. A year from now, we could end up in the middle of a full-blown civil war costing a thousand American lives a month. We could end up taking sides in a shooting war against Turkey, a NATO ally. We could end up fighting off an armed invasion from Iran. We could end up on the receiving of an oil embargo led by Saudi Arabia. Who knows?

All of these developments may be individually unlikely, but you're not trying hard enough if you can't dream up plausible scenarios leading to each one of them."

http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/...
Node Created: Ulysses Berman — 2006-11-21 14:50:43

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